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Housing Market

The anatomy of a turning housing market

Here is a quick high level run-through of the main things happening in the residential real estate market on average in New Zealand.

Housing Market

My main housing thoughts - Tony Alexander

Recently, I wrote a lengthy article listing the main things I am saying about the NZ residential property market at the moment – some of which I have been warning about for 12-18 months. Here are most of those points in summarised form.

Housing Market

First home buyers should focus on choice, not potential for bargains

The expectation held by most of us is that average prices will fall about 10%. That sounds reasonable. But before anyone gets fixated on that number it pays to note something very important.

Housing Market

Market update: Is a recession just around the corner?

As Kiwi businesses and consumers are left to grapple with a nasty cocktail of inflation and higher interest rates, there will be a raft of implications for our economy.

Housing Market

With recession comes opportunity – A potential silver lining for buyers in the housing market

As Kiwis grapple with the double whammy of higher interest rates and high inflation, there’s no doubt people are starting to feel the pinch. Could current economic pressures lead to a drop in house prices?

Housing Market

The slowing market is a good thing - Tony Alexander

There are five strong forces acting to pull back the level of intensity of buyer demand for residential property at the moment. But just because the boom has ended does not mean a crash is on its way.

Housing Market

Updated NZ mortgage rate forecast for 2022

In last year’s mortgage rate forecast, we predicted rates would drop below 2.00% and stay low, which they did for most of 2021. Our house price prediction wasn't so on the money, but that one comes down to a matter of timing. Here's our latest analysis.

Housing Market

Is it better to fix or float your home loan?

In this article we’re looking at how to pick the right fixed home loan rate term in a rising interest rate environment.

Housing Market

Are we living beyond our means?

New Zealanders have over $320 billion of household debt, but what does that mean for house prices and for the wider economy?

Housing Market

House price growth has accelerated

I know from experience that accurately predicting house price movements over short periods of time is impossible. But one can balance the various factors in play and see what the trend seems to be and where it may be heading.

Housing Market

New tax rules for property owners

The government this week clarified details of its housing tax policy changes announced on March 23, and they were slightly less bad than expected.

Housing Market

The housing market has been strengthening since May

Nationwide average house sale prices rose by 2% in August. This followed a 2.4% rise in July, 1% gain in June, 0.8% rise in May and just a 0.5% rise in April.